Water Jackpot 

Land Jackpot

Energy Jackpot

Athleticism - Baseline minimum bar for: 

• Height: 6’ to 6’5”
• Hand size: 9+ inches
• Weight: 190-230 lbs
• Arm strength: 50mph+ top ball speed 
• Throwing range: 50+ yards
• Accuracy: 60%+ in HS and College
• Quick release: under half a second
• Baseline Lateral Quickness

The Invisible:

• The measurable (arm strength, speed, pedigree, flash you can see) is overvalued; the invisible is undervalued (endurance, intelligence, adaptability, self awareness, confidence)
• Beyond baseline athleticism, the invisible intangibles had the biggest impact on quarterback success.

The Environment:

• Coaching quality (think 2 of the great QBs in Tom Brady & Patrick Maholmes getting coached by 2 of the greatest coaches in Bill Belichek & Andy Reid)
• Coaching stability (system stability allows cognitive mastery and confidence)
• Talent (offensive line to block, receiving talent, running talent)
• Opportunity (QB slot opening up)

The Basics:

• “The game winning drives of Montana, Elway, Brady: what stood out was how mundane and obvious and simple they were. Like move the chains with slight throw to the running back.”

Double Click:

• Tom Brady is arguably the best football player of all time.
• Right before his first start as a QB in high school, he ran to his dad and said he "couldn't do it" because he had "forgotten how to throw". His dad calmed him down.
• Fast forward to his last year in New England 20+ years and 6 Super Bowls later. At the front of his playbook he’s written himself these self affirmations like “you’re the man”, and “you’re built for this”, “you love the big moments”. He’s written these things that he reads every day. 
• Playing in front of tens of thousands of people with many more watching and counting on you, failing repeatedly as all QBs do, and maintaining the confidence to make a tight throw under pressure takes a special combination of internal and external support.

At a concert I came across the opener John Butler. He played this song live - I’d never heard it before, but it’s about as great as any guitar piece I’ve ever heard. Two quotes from YouTube comments: “this song is probably the most perfect song ever made”, and “If I was forced to keep only one guitar performance on entire Internet and delete everything else I will keep this one”.